Rebounds
42.4%
14-19 · 33 GP
NBA 2025–26
Aaron Gordon
Denver Nuggets
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Rebounds 42.4% (33 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
42.4%
14-19 · 33 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
45.5%
15-18 · 33 GP
Points
51.5%
17-16 · 33 GP
Assists
44.4%
12-15 · 27 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.4%
Record
14-19
Average
5.7
Median
5.0
Games Played
33
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
6-12
Average
5.3
GP at Line
18
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 27.3% | — | 11 |
| EARLY season | 50.0% | — | 10 |
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 9 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.4%
Record
14-19
Average
1.7
Median
1.0
Games Played
33
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
48.1%
Record
13-14
Average
2.0
GP at Line
27
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 42.9% | — | 14 |
| AWAY | 53.8% | — | 13 |
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 12 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 23.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.5%
Record
15-18
Average
23.0
Median
24.0
Games Played
33
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 23.5
Over Rate
54.5%
Record
6-5
Average
24.3
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
FanDuel
O/U 23.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 8 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 15.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
51.5%
Record
17-16
Average
15.2
Median
16.0
Games Played
33
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 15.5
Over Rate
53.8%
Record
7-6
Average
15.2
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
FanDuel
O/U 15.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 8 |
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
44.4%
Record
12-15
Average
2.9
Median
2.0
Games Played
27
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
8-12
Average
2.6
GP at Line
20
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 45.5% | — | 11 |
| EARLY season | 33.3% | — | 9 |
| AWAY | 33.3% | — | 9 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.