Rebounds
40.5%
30-44 · 74 GP
NBA 2025–26
Ace Bailey
Utah Jazz
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Rebounds 40.5% (74 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
54.1%
40-34 · 74 GP
Threes Made
59.7%
40-27 · 67 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
53.6%
30-26 · 56 GP
Assists
46.8%
22-25 · 47 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.5%
Record
30-44
Average
4.1
Median
4.0
Games Played
74
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
12-20
Average
4.4
GP at Line
32
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 42.1% | — | 19 |
| Rest: 1 | 21.4% | — | 14 |
| vs MID pace | 28.6% | — | 14 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 11.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
54.1%
Record
40-34
Average
14.8
Median
13.5
Games Played
74
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 11.5
Over Rate
72.7%
Record
8-3
Average
13.7
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 66.7% | — | 9 |
| EARLY season | 83.3% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 66.7% | — | 6 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
59.7%
Record
40-27
Average
2.4
Median
2.0
Games Played
67
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
59.0%
Record
23-16
Average
1.7
GP at Line
39
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 56.0% | — | 25 |
| Rest: 1 | 69.6% | — | 23 |
| HOME | 72.7% | — | 22 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 22.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.6%
Record
30-26
Average
21.6
Median
21.0
Games Played
56
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 22.5
Over Rate
57.1%
Record
4-3
Average
22.7
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| vs MID pace | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.8%
Record
22-25
Average
1.9
Median
2.0
Games Played
47
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
14-14
Average
1.7
GP at Line
28
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 43.8% | — | 16 |
| vs MID pace | 50.0% | — | 14 |
| MID season | 30.8% | — | 13 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.