Points
48.5%
32-34 · 66 GP
NBA 2025–26
AJ Green
Milwaukee Bucks
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 48.5% (66 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
50.0%
33-33 · 66 GP
Rebounds
42.9%
24-32 · 56 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
40.0%
16-24 · 40 GP
Assists
37.5%
12-20 · 32 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.5%
Record
32-34
Average
9.3
Median
9.0
Games Played
66
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
56.5%
Record
13-10
Average
10.4
GP at Line
23
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 57.1% | — | 14 |
| vs FAST pace | 61.5% | — | 13 |
| Rest: 1 | 72.7% | — | 11 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
33-33
Average
2.7
Median
2.5
Games Played
66
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
51.8%
Record
29-27
Average
2.7
GP at Line
56
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 56.7% | — | 30 |
| Rest: 1 | 55.2% | — | 29 |
| AWAY | 44.8% | — | 29 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
24-32
Average
2.6
Median
2.0
Games Played
56
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
44.2%
Record
23-29
Average
2.6
GP at Line
52
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 40.0% | — | 30 |
| vs FAST pace | 28.6% | — | 28 |
| Rest: 1 | 40.0% | — | 25 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 16.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
16-24
Average
13.8
Median
13.0
Games Played
40
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 16.5
Over Rate
10.0%
Record
1-9
Average
10.2
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 14.3% | — | 7 |
| MID season | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| vs MID pace | 0.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
12-20
Average
2.0
Median
2.0
Games Played
32
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
31.3%
Record
5-11
Average
2.3
GP at Line
16
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 10 |
| vs FAST pace | 12.5% | — | 8 |
| Rest: 1 | 25.0% | — | 8 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.