Points
61.4%
27-17 · 44 GP
NBA 2025–26
Al Horford
Golden State Warriors
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 61.4% (44 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
56.8%
25-19 · 44 GP
Threes Made
42.9%
18-24 · 42 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
58.1%
18-13 · 31 GP
Assists
60.7%
17-11 · 28 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
61.4%
Record
27-17
Average
9.2
Median
9.0
Games Played
44
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
66.7%
Record
8-4
Average
8.4
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 60.0% | — | 10 |
| vs FAST pace | 66.7% | — | 9 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 8 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
56.8%
Record
25-19
Average
5.2
Median
5.0
Games Played
44
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
66.7%
Record
14-7
Average
5.1
GP at Line
21
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 53.8% | — | 13 |
| AWAY | 66.7% | — | 12 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 12 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
18-24
Average
1.8
Median
2.0
Games Played
42
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
45.5%
Record
15-18
Average
1.7
GP at Line
33
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 36.4% | — | 22 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 20 |
| AWAY | 27.8% | — | 18 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 13.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
58.1%
Record
18-13
Average
18.1
Median
17.0
Games Played
31
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 13.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
3-3
Average
13.8
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 60.0% | — | 5 |
| AWAY | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
60.7%
Record
17-11
Average
3.2
Median
3.0
Games Played
28
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
75.0%
Record
9-3
Average
4.1
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 77.8% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 71.4% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 71.4% | — | 7 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.