Threes Made
34.1%
14-27 · 41 GP
NBA 2025–26
Alex Sarr
Washington Wizards
Threes Made 34.1% Under (41 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Rebounds
42.6%
23-31 · 54 GP
Points
41.2%
21-30 · 51 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
48.0%
24-26 · 50 GP
Assists
47.8%
22-24 · 46 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
34.1%
Record
14-27
Average
1.1
Median
1.0
Games Played
41
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
25.0%
Record
7-21
Average
1.1
GP at Line
28
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 35.3% | — | 17 |
| AWAY | 37.5% | — | 16 |
| EARLY season | 33.3% | — | 15 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 7.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.6%
Record
23-31
Average
7.4
Median
7.0
Games Played
54
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 7.5
Over Rate
52.2%
Record
12-11
Average
7.8
GP at Line
23
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
FanDuel
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 66.7% | — | 15 |
| MID season | 40.0% | — | 15 |
| HOME | 38.5% | — | 13 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 15.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
41.2%
Record
21-30
Average
16.9
Median
16.0
Games Played
51
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 15.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
4-4
Average
16.1
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 60.0% | — | 5 |
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 5 |
| vs FAST pace | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 24.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.0%
Record
24-26
Average
27.0
Median
27.0
Games Played
50
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 24.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
3-2
Average
28.4
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.8%
Record
22-24
Average
2.8
Median
2.5
Games Played
46
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
16-16
Average
2.8
GP at Line
32
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 47.6% | — | 21 |
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 18 |
| vs MID pace | 58.8% | — | 17 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.