Threes Made
33.3%
8-16 · 24 GP
NBA 2025–26
Alperen Sengun
Houston Rockets
Threes Made 33.3% Under (24 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Pts+Reb+Ast
40.0%
28-42 · 70 GP
Assists
42.0%
29-40 · 69 GP
Points
42.0%
29-40 · 69 GP
Rebounds
44.9%
31-38 · 69 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 0.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
8-16
Average
0.5
Median
0.0
Games Played
24
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 0.5
Over Rate
34.8%
Record
8-15
Average
0.6
GP at Line
23
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 28.6% | — | 14 |
| Rest: 1 | 23.1% | — | 13 |
| EARLY season | 46.2% | — | 13 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 37.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
28-42
Average
35.0
Median
34.5
Games Played
70
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 37.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
5-5
Average
37.9
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 37.5
DraftKings
O/U 34.5
DraftKings
O/U 36.5
DraftKings
O/U 33.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 8 |
| EARLY season | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| HOME | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.0%
Record
29-40
Average
5.9
Median
6.0
Games Played
69
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
16-16
Average
6.7
GP at Line
32
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 52.6% | — | 19 |
| Rest: 1 | 52.6% | — | 19 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 18 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 18.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.0%
Record
29-40
Average
20.5
Median
18.0
Games Played
69
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 18.5
Over Rate
23.1%
Record
3-10
Average
17.3
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| vs FAST pace | 0.0% | — | 6 |
| AWAY | 16.7% | — | 6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.9%
Record
31-38
Average
9.1
Median
9.0
Games Played
69
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
46.4%
Record
13-15
Average
9.6
GP at Line
28
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
FanDuel
O/U 8.5
FanDuel
O/U 9.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 41.2% | — | 17 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 16 |
| Rest: 1 | 64.3% | — | 14 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.