Pts+Reb+Ast
39.4%
26-40 · 66 GP
Points
45.3%
29-35 · 64 GP
Threes Made
50.0%
32-32 · 64 GP
Rebounds
49.2%
31-32 · 63 GP
Assists
50.8%
32-31 · 63 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 23.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
10 GP · 40% over
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
10 GP · 60% over
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
7 GP · 43% over
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
7 GP · 29% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| Rest: 1 |
40.0% |
— |
10 |
| MID season |
44.4% |
— |
9 |
| AWAY |
37.5% |
— |
8 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 14.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
11 GP · 27% over
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
8 GP · 63% over
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
7 GP · 43% over
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
7 GP · 43% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| MID season |
62.5% |
— |
8 |
| vs FAST pace |
50.0% |
— |
8 |
| AWAY |
71.4% |
— |
7 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
43 GP · 61% over
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
9 GP · 44% over
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
5 GP · 0% over
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
3 GP · 33% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| vs FAST pace |
60.7% |
— |
28 |
| AWAY |
60.7% |
— |
28 |
| HOME |
56.0% |
— |
25 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
34 GP · 47% over
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
11 GP · 55% over
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
7 GP · 43% over
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
3 GP · 67% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| vs FAST pace |
50.0% |
— |
24 |
| AWAY |
57.1% |
— |
21 |
| HOME |
35.0% |
— |
20 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
43 GP · 47% over
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
10 GP · 60% over
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
8 GP · 63% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| AWAY |
39.3% |
— |
28 |
| vs FAST pace |
55.6% |
— |
27 |
| Rest: 1 |
57.7% |
— |
26 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.
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