Assists
22.4%
11-38 · 49 GP
NBA 2025–26
Anfernee Simons
Boston Celtics
Assists 22.4% Under (49 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Threes Made
43.6%
24-31 · 55 GP
Points
46.3%
25-29 · 54 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
38.3%
18-29 · 47 GP
Rebounds
60.0%
24-16 · 40 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
22.4%
Record
11-38
Average
2.1
Median
2.0
Games Played
49
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
24.3%
Record
9-28
Average
2.1
GP at Line
37
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 15.4% | — | 26 |
| MID season | 18.2% | — | 22 |
| vs FAST pace | 18.2% | — | 22 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
43.6%
Record
24-31
Average
2.8
Median
2.0
Games Played
55
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
14-21
Average
2.5
GP at Line
35
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 22 |
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 20 |
| HOME | 27.8% | — | 18 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 13.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.3%
Record
25-29
Average
14.9
Median
13.5
Games Played
54
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 13.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
5-5
Average
15.1
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| HOME | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| vs FAST pace | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 20.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
38.3%
Record
18-29
Average
19.4
Median
17.0
Games Played
47
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 20.5
Over Rate
22.2%
Record
2-7
Average
18.4
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 12.5% | — | 8 |
| Rest: 1 | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| HOME | 0.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
24-16
Average
2.8
Median
3.0
Games Played
40
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
57.6%
Record
19-14
Average
2.6
GP at Line
33
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 48.0% | — | 25 |
| HOME | 61.1% | — | 18 |
| MID season | 61.1% | — | 18 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.