Points
55.2%
37-30 · 67 GP
NBA 2025–26
Anthony Black
Orlando Magic
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 55.2% (67 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
40.6%
26-38 · 64 GP
Assists
47.6%
30-33 · 63 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
50.8%
31-30 · 61 GP
Threes Made
43.1%
25-33 · 58 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 16.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
55.2%
Record
37-30
Average
14.6
Median
14.0
Games Played
67
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 16.5
Over Rate
63.6%
Record
7-4
Average
17.3
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| MID season | 85.7% | — | 7 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.6%
Record
26-38
Average
3.8
Median
4.0
Games Played
64
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
48.0%
Record
12-13
Average
3.9
GP at Line
25
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 44.4% | — | 18 |
| HOME | 64.3% | — | 14 |
| vs MID pace | 38.5% | — | 13 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.6%
Record
30-33
Average
4.0
Median
4.0
Games Played
63
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
48.1%
Record
13-14
Average
4.4
GP at Line
27
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 72.2% | — | 18 |
| Rest: 1 | 44.4% | — | 18 |
| vs FAST pace | 47.1% | — | 17 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 25.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.8%
Record
31-30
Average
22.7
Median
23.0
Games Played
61
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 25.5
Over Rate
57.1%
Record
8-6
Average
23.9
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
FanDuel
O/U 25.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 58.3% | — | 12 |
| MID season | 70.0% | — | 10 |
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 10 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
43.1%
Record
25-33
Average
1.5
Median
1.0
Games Played
58
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
45.5%
Record
20-24
Average
1.6
GP at Line
44
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 53.6% | — | 28 |
| Rest: 1 | 38.5% | — | 26 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 26 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.