Points
40.0%
8-12 · 20 GP
NBA 2025–26
Anthony Davis
Dallas Mavericks
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 40.0% (20 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
45.0%
9-11 · 20 GP
Assists
45.0%
9-11 · 20 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
47.4%
9-10 · 19 GP
Threes Made
30.0%
3-7 · 10 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 23.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
8-12
Average
20.4
Median
21.5
Games Played
20
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 23.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
3-2
Average
22.4
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 11.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
45.0%
Record
9-11
Average
11.4
Median
12.0
Games Played
20
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 11.5
Over Rate
45.5%
Record
5-6
Average
10.9
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| MID season | 42.9% | — | 7 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
45.0%
Record
9-11
Average
2.9
Median
3.0
Games Played
20
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
30.0%
Record
3-7
Average
2.6
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| MID season | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
47.4%
Record
9-10
Average
34.5
Median
38.0
Games Played
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 33.5
DraftKings
O/U 41.5
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 0.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
display
Over Rate
30.0%
Record
3-7
Average
0.4
Median
0.0
Games Played
10
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 0.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
3-6
Average
0.4
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| HOME | 60.0% | — | 5 |
| EARLY season | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.