Points
52.7%
29-26 · 55 GP
NBA 2025–26
Austin Reaves
Los Angeles Lakers
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 52.7% (55 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
37.0%
20-34 · 54 GP
Assists
55.6%
30-24 · 54 GP
Rebounds
53.7%
29-25 · 54 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
49.1%
26-27 · 53 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 21.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
52.7%
Record
29-26
Average
23.2
Median
22.0
Games Played
55
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 21.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
3-6
Average
21.3
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
37.0%
Record
20-34
Average
2.4
Median
2.0
Games Played
54
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
26.7%
Record
8-22
Average
2.0
GP at Line
30
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 42.1% | — | 19 |
| Rest: 1 | 26.7% | — | 15 |
| vs FAST pace | 16.7% | — | 12 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
55.6%
Record
30-24
Average
5.6
Median
5.0
Games Played
54
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
70.0%
Record
14-6
Average
5.0
GP at Line
20
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 12 |
| AWAY | 75.0% | — | 8 |
| vs MID pace | 66.7% | — | 6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.7%
Record
29-25
Average
4.6
Median
5.0
Games Played
54
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
51.5%
Record
17-16
Average
4.5
GP at Line
33
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 52.9% | — | 17 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 16 |
| Rest: 1 | 41.7% | — | 12 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 28.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
49.1%
Record
26-27
Average
32.0
Median
30.0
Games Played
53
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 28.5
Over Rate
22.2%
Record
2-7
Average
25.7
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
DraftKings
O/U 30.5
DraftKings
O/U 33.5
DraftKings
O/U 32.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| AWAY | 0.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.