Points
49.3%
37-38 · 75 GP
NBA 2025–26
Bam Adebayo
Miami Heat
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 49.3% (75 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Pts+Reb+Ast
38.4%
28-45 · 73 GP
Rebounds
52.1%
38-35 · 73 GP
Assists
41.7%
30-42 · 72 GP
Threes Made
45.6%
31-37 · 68 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 18.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
49.3%
Record
37-38
Average
20.9
Median
21.0
Games Played
75
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 18.5
Over Rate
52.6%
Record
10-9
Average
18.2
GP at Line
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 46.2% | — | 13 |
| MID season | 54.5% | — | 11 |
| vs MID pace | 40.0% | — | 10 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 31.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
38.4%
Record
28-45
Average
33.3
Median
32.0
Games Played
73
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 31.5
Over Rate
45.5%
Record
5-6
Average
30.5
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 33.5
DraftKings
O/U 31.5
DraftKings
O/U 34.5
DraftKings
O/U 30.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 33.3% | — | 9 |
| vs MID pace | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
52.1%
Record
38-35
Average
9.8
Median
10.0
Games Played
73
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
54.2%
Record
13-11
Average
10.4
GP at Line
24
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
FanDuel
O/U 10.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 14 |
| AWAY | 61.5% | — | 13 |
| HOME | 45.5% | — | 11 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
41.7%
Record
30-42
Average
2.9
Median
3.0
Games Played
72
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
14-21
Average
3.1
GP at Line
35
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 26.3% | — | 19 |
| AWAY | 36.8% | — | 19 |
| vs FAST pace | 36.8% | — | 19 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.6%
Record
31-37
Average
1.8
Median
1.0
Games Played
68
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
47.1%
Record
24-27
Average
1.6
GP at Line
51
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 53.3% | — | 30 |
| vs FAST pace | 53.8% | — | 26 |
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 22 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.