Points
58.5%
31-22 · 53 GP
Rebounds
52.8%
28-25 · 53 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
54.0%
27-23 · 50 GP
Assists
47.8%
22-24 · 46 GP
Threes Made
50.0%
17-17 · 34 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 10.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
13 GP · 54% over
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
12 GP · 50% over
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
7 GP · 29% over
FanDuel
O/U 10.5
4 GP · 50% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
36.4% |
— |
11 |
| vs MID pace |
55.6% |
— |
9 |
| vs FAST pace |
50.0% |
— |
8 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
27 GP · 37% over
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
11 GP · 82% over
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
6 GP · 67% over
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
3 GP · 100% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
42.9% |
— |
21 |
| vs MID pace |
50.0% |
— |
14 |
| vs FAST pace |
30.8% |
— |
13 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 19.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
11 GP · 64% over
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
9 GP · 22% over
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
6 GP · 100% over
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
5 GP · 40% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
42.9% |
— |
7 |
| AWAY |
33.3% |
— |
6 |
| vs MID pace |
40.0% |
— |
5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
31 GP · 48% over
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
8 GP · 50% over
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
5 GP · 40% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
52.2% |
— |
23 |
| vs FAST pace |
25.0% |
— |
20 |
| Rest: 1 |
47.4% |
— |
19 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
18 GP · 33% over
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
10 GP · 60% over
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
3 GP · 100% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
57.1% |
— |
14 |
| vs FAST pace |
44.4% |
— |
9 |
| AWAY |
14.3% |
— |
7 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.
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