Points
41.0%
34-49 · 83 GP
NBA 2025–26
Brandon Ingram
Toronto Raptors
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 41.0% (83 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Assists
45.0%
36-44 · 80 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
44.3%
35-44 · 79 GP
Rebounds
46.8%
37-42 · 79 GP
Threes Made
44.9%
35-43 · 78 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 21.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
41.0%
Record
34-49
Average
21.3
Median
21.0
Games Played
83
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 21.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
6-9
Average
22.9
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 75.0% | — | 8 |
| AWAY | 0.0% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 6 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.0%
Record
36-44
Average
3.6
Median
4.0
Games Played
80
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
51.9%
Record
28-26
Average
3.5
GP at Line
54
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 55.2% | — | 29 |
| Rest: 1 | 46.2% | — | 26 |
| HOME | 48.0% | — | 25 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 29.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.3%
Record
35-44
Average
30.2
Median
31.0
Games Played
79
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 29.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
9-6
Average
29.1
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
DraftKings
O/U 30.5
DraftKings
O/U 33.5
DraftKings
O/U 31.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 8 |
| EARLY season | 50.0% | — | 8 |
| vs MID pace | 85.7% | — | 7 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.8%
Record
37-42
Average
5.3
Median
6.0
Games Played
79
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
54.4%
Record
31-26
Average
5.2
GP at Line
57
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 63.3% | — | 30 |
| AWAY | 37.9% | — | 29 |
| vs FAST pace | 58.6% | — | 29 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.9%
Record
35-43
Average
1.9
Median
2.0
Games Played
78
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
33-33
Average
1.8
GP at Line
66
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 35 |
| AWAY | 47.1% | — | 34 |
| Rest: 1 | 51.5% | — | 33 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.