Points
47.1%
32-36 · 68 GP
Threes Made
43.3%
29-38 · 67 GP
Rebounds
52.2%
35-32 · 67 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
43.9%
29-37 · 66 GP
Assists
44.6%
29-36 · 65 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 20.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
9 GP · 56% over
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
9 GP · 44% over
FanDuel
O/U 20.5
8 GP · 75% over
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
7 GP · 57% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| MID season |
72.7% |
— |
11 |
| vs FAST pace |
63.6% |
— |
11 |
| HOME |
70.0% |
— |
10 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
23 GP · 48% over
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
20 GP · 40% over
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
9 GP · 78% over
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
5 GP · 0% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| vs FAST pace |
52.4% |
— |
21 |
| HOME |
63.2% |
— |
19 |
| MID season |
55.6% |
— |
18 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
19 GP · 47% over
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
12 GP · 58% over
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
11 GP · 64% over
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
9 GP · 22% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| vs FAST pace |
55.6% |
— |
18 |
| MID season |
47.1% |
— |
17 |
| HOME |
43.8% |
— |
16 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 29.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
14 GP · 57% over
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
7 GP · 43% over
DraftKings
O/U 30.5
7 GP · 57% over
FanDuel
O/U 28.5
5 GP · 20% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
61.5% |
— |
13 |
| MID season |
75.0% |
— |
12 |
| vs FAST pace |
60.0% |
— |
10 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
33 GP · 42% over
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
13 GP · 54% over
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
8 GP · 38% over
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
5 GP · 40% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
44.8% |
— |
29 |
| vs FAST pace |
41.7% |
— |
24 |
| MID season |
38.1% |
— |
21 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.
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