Threes Made
26.3%
5-14 · 19 GP
NBA 2025–26
Brandon Williams
Dallas Mavericks
Threes Made 26.3% Under (19 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Points
52.9%
27-24 · 51 GP
Assists
41.3%
19-27 · 46 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
38.1%
16-26 · 42 GP
Rebounds
40.5%
15-22 · 37 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 0.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
26.3%
Record
5-14
Average
0.4
Median
0.0
Games Played
19
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 0.5
Over Rate
26.7%
Record
4-11
Average
0.3
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 20.0% | — | 10 |
| vs FAST pace | 12.5% | — | 8 |
| AWAY | 12.5% | — | 8 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 13.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
52.9%
Record
27-24
Average
12.9
Median
13.0
Games Played
51
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 13.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
3-6
Average
8.9
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 25.0% | — | 8 |
| Rest: 1 | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| MID season | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
41.3%
Record
19-27
Average
3.6
Median
4.0
Games Played
46
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
31.6%
Record
6-13
Average
3.5
GP at Line
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 35.3% | — | 17 |
| AWAY | 18.2% | — | 11 |
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 10 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 21.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
38.1%
Record
16-26
Average
17.1
Median
19.0
Games Played
42
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 21.5
Over Rate
66.7%
Record
6-3
Average
20.1
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| AWAY | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.5%
Record
15-22
Average
2.7
Median
3.0
Games Played
37
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
45.5%
Record
10-12
Average
2.4
GP at Line
22
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 46.7% | — | 15 |
| AWAY | 28.6% | — | 14 |
| vs MID pace | 40.0% | — | 10 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.