Points
56.5%
35-27 · 62 GP
NBA 2025–26
Brice Sensabaugh
Utah Jazz
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 56.5% (62 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
47.5%
28-31 · 59 GP
Rebounds
49.0%
25-26 · 51 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
56.7%
17-13 · 30 GP
Assists
45.0%
9-11 · 20 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
56.5%
Record
35-27
Average
15.2
Median
14.0
Games Played
62
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
45.5%
Record
5-6
Average
10.2
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| vs MID pace | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| AWAY | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.5%
Record
28-31
Average
2.2
Median
2.0
Games Played
59
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
48.1%
Record
13-14
Average
1.4
GP at Line
27
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 50.0% | — | 16 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 16 |
| Rest: 1 | 20.0% | — | 15 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
49.0%
Record
25-26
Average
3.4
Median
4.0
Games Played
51
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
57.1%
Record
12-9
Average
3.6
GP at Line
21
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 63.6% | — | 11 |
| AWAY | 54.5% | — | 11 |
| HOME | 60.0% | — | 10 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
56.7%
Record
17-13
Average
24.7
Median
24.5
Games Played
30
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
45.0%
Record
9-11
Average
1.8
Median
1.5
Games Played
20
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
57.1%
Record
8-6
Average
1.9
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 10 |
| vs MID pace | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 6 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.