Threes Made
33.3%
5-10 · 15 GP
NBA 2025–26
Bruce Brown
Denver Nuggets
Threes Made 33.3% Under (15 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Points
49.3%
36-37 · 73 GP
Rebounds
45.1%
32-39 · 71 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
37.5%
18-30 · 48 GP
Assists
38.5%
15-24 · 39 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 0.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
5-10
Average
0.5
Median
0.0
Games Played
15
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 0.5
Over Rate
30.8%
Record
4-9
Average
0.4
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 30.0% | — | 10 |
| HOME | 14.3% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 0 | 16.7% | — | 6 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
49.3%
Record
36-37
Average
8.2
Median
7.0
Games Played
73
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
58.3%
Record
14-10
Average
8.9
GP at Line
24
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 12 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 12 |
| vs FAST pace | 45.5% | — | 11 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.1%
Record
32-39
Average
3.6
Median
3.0
Games Played
71
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
42.5%
Record
17-23
Average
3.6
GP at Line
40
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 42.9% | — | 21 |
| Rest: 1 | 40.0% | — | 20 |
| AWAY | 40.0% | — | 20 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 12.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
37.5%
Record
18-30
Average
14.0
Median
13.0
Games Played
48
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 12.5
Over Rate
45.5%
Record
5-6
Average
15.3
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 37.5% | — | 8 |
| vs FAST pace | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
38.5%
Record
15-24
Average
1.7
Median
2.0
Games Played
39
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
21.1%
Record
4-15
Average
1.6
GP at Line
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 27.3% | — | 11 |
| Rest: 1 | 20.0% | — | 10 |
| HOME | 20.0% | — | 10 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.