Points
42.4%
14-19 · 33 GP
NBA 2025–26
Buddy Hield
Golden State Warriors
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 42.4% (33 GP) · 4 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
40.0%
12-18 · 30 GP
Rebounds
36.4%
8-14 · 22 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
41.7%
5-7 · 12 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 7.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.4%
Record
14-19
Average
8.6
Median
8.0
Games Played
33
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 7.5
Over Rate
55.6%
Record
5-4
Average
8.8
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| MID season | 80.0% | — | 5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
12-18
Average
1.4
Median
1.0
Games Played
30
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
47.8%
Record
11-12
Average
1.5
GP at Line
23
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 35.7% | — | 14 |
| Rest: 1 | 42.9% | — | 14 |
| AWAY | 38.5% | — | 13 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
36.4%
Record
8-14
Average
2.7
Median
2.0
Games Played
22
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
6-12
Average
2.5
GP at Line
18
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 33.3% | — | 12 |
| HOME | 36.4% | — | 11 |
| MID season | 30.0% | — | 10 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
41.7%
Record
5-7
Average
11.4
Median
12.0
Games Played
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.