Assists
55.1%
43-35 · 78 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
38.2%
29-47 · 76 GP
Points
40.8%
31-45 · 76 GP
Rebounds
42.7%
32-43 · 75 GP
Threes Made
45.3%
34-41 · 75 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
20 GP · 55% over
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
17 GP · 53% over
FanDuel
O/U 9.5
13 GP · 62% over
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
8 GP · 75% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| Rest: 1 |
68.4% |
— |
19 |
| AWAY |
52.6% |
— |
19 |
| vs MID pace |
76.5% |
— |
17 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 42.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 42.5
13 GP · 39% over
DraftKings
O/U 39.5
8 GP · 75% over
DraftKings
O/U 41.5
8 GP · 25% over
DraftKings
O/U 40.5
6 GP · 83% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| Rest: 1 |
22.2% |
— |
9 |
| vs FAST pace |
25.0% |
— |
8 |
| AWAY |
50.0% |
— |
8 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 25.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
11 GP · 36% over
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
10 GP · 50% over
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
10 GP · 60% over
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
7 GP · 57% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| AWAY |
60.0% |
— |
10 |
| vs MID pace |
60.0% |
— |
10 |
| Rest: 1 |
55.6% |
— |
9 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
34 GP · 59% over
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
13 GP · 15% over
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
9 GP · 33% over
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
6 GP · 33% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| Rest: 1 |
43.3% |
— |
30 |
| AWAY |
48.1% |
— |
27 |
| vs FAST pace |
60.9% |
— |
23 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
25 GP · 72% over
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
25 GP · 28% over
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
13 GP · 54% over
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
6 GP · 0% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| Rest: 1 |
59.1% |
— |
22 |
| AWAY |
71.4% |
— |
21 |
| vs MID pace |
61.9% |
— |
21 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.
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