Points
57.1%
8-6 · 14 GP
NBA 2025–26
Caleb Martin
Dallas Mavericks
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 57.1% (14 GP) · 3 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
42.9%
6-8 · 14 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
50.0%
5-5 · 10 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
57.1%
Record
8-6
Average
9.4
Median
9.0
Games Played
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
6-8
Average
4.1
Median
4.0
Games Played
14
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
20.0%
Record
1-4
Average
2.8
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
5-5
Average
15.2
Median
15.0
Games Played
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.