Points
54.5%
30-25 · 55 GP
NBA 2025–26
Cam Spencer
Memphis Grizzlies
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 54.5% (55 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Assists
51.0%
26-25 · 51 GP
Threes Made
50.0%
25-25 · 50 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
46.7%
21-24 · 45 GP
Rebounds
46.5%
20-23 · 43 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 11.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
54.5%
Record
30-25
Average
11.5
Median
11.0
Games Played
55
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 11.5
Over Rate
44.4%
Record
4-5
Average
8.2
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| AWAY | 40.0% | — | 5 |
| MID season | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
51.0%
Record
26-25
Average
6.0
Median
5.0
Games Played
51
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
6-6
Average
4.8
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 8 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 6 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
25-25
Average
2.0
Median
2.0
Games Played
50
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
59.3%
Record
16-11
Average
1.9
GP at Line
27
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 60.0% | — | 15 |
| vs MID pace | 53.3% | — | 15 |
| HOME | 57.1% | — | 14 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 21.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.7%
Record
21-24
Average
19.9
Median
20.0
Games Played
45
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 21.5
Over Rate
16.7%
Record
1-5
Average
15.8
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.5%
Record
20-23
Average
3.0
Median
3.0
Games Played
43
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
44.0%
Record
11-14
Average
2.5
GP at Line
25
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 52.9% | — | 17 |
| Rest: 1 | 38.5% | — | 13 |
| MID season | 41.7% | — | 12 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.