Rebounds
46.3%
25-29 · 54 GP
NBA 2025–26
Cameron Johnson
Denver Nuggets
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Rebounds 46.3% (54 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
51.9%
28-26 · 54 GP
Threes Made
54.7%
29-24 · 53 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
46.9%
23-26 · 49 GP
Assists
50.0%
22-22 · 44 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.3%
Record
25-29
Average
3.6
Median
4.0
Games Played
54
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
52.8%
Record
19-17
Average
3.7
GP at Line
36
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 47.6% | — | 21 |
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 15 |
| Rest: 1 | 53.3% | — | 15 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 11.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
51.9%
Record
28-26
Average
12.3
Median
12.5
Games Played
54
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 11.5
Over Rate
30.8%
Record
4-9
Average
9.5
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 14.3% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 0.0% | — | 5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
54.7%
Record
29-24
Average
2.1
Median
2.0
Games Played
53
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
61.1%
Record
22-14
Average
2.1
GP at Line
36
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 18 |
| AWAY | 55.6% | — | 18 |
| Rest: 1 | 46.2% | — | 13 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 18.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.9%
Record
23-26
Average
18.4
Median
18.0
Games Played
49
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 18.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
3-6
Average
16.2
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 0.0% | — | 5 |
| Rest: 1 | 20.0% | — | 5 |
| HOME | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
22-22
Average
2.4
Median
2.0
Games Played
44
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
15-20
Average
2.3
GP at Line
35
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 44.4% | — | 18 |
| AWAY | 41.2% | — | 17 |
| vs FAST pace | 37.5% | — | 16 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.