Points
41.1%
30-43 · 73 GP
NBA 2025–26
Cason Wallace
Oklahoma City Thunder
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 41.1% (73 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
43.5%
30-39 · 69 GP
Threes Made
35.8%
24-43 · 67 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
36.5%
23-40 · 63 GP
Assists
41.0%
25-36 · 61 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
41.1%
Record
30-43
Average
8.4
Median
7.0
Games Played
73
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
46.7%
Record
7-8
Average
8.1
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| EARLY season | 50.0% | — | 8 |
| AWAY | 28.6% | — | 7 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
43.5%
Record
30-39
Average
3.1
Median
3.0
Games Played
69
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
44.1%
Record
15-19
Average
2.8
GP at Line
34
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 20 |
| Rest: 1 | 47.4% | — | 19 |
| AWAY | 29.4% | — | 17 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
35.8%
Record
24-43
Average
1.3
Median
1.0
Games Played
67
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
18-36
Average
1.3
GP at Line
54
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 37.1% | — | 35 |
| AWAY | 27.6% | — | 29 |
| Rest: 1 | 35.7% | — | 28 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 12.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
36.5%
Record
23-40
Average
13.8
Median
12.0
Games Played
63
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 12.5
Over Rate
20.0%
Record
2-8
Average
9.8
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 14.3% | — | 7 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
41.0%
Record
25-36
Average
2.8
Median
2.0
Games Played
61
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
37.9%
Record
11-18
Average
2.3
GP at Line
29
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 52.9% | — | 17 |
| Rest: 1 | 31.3% | — | 16 |
| vs FAST pace | 28.6% | — | 14 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.