Threes Made
32.8%
22-45 · 67 GP
NBA 2025–26
Chet Holmgren
Oklahoma City Thunder
Threes Made 32.8% Under (67 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Rebounds
53.5%
38-33 · 71 GP
Points
47.8%
32-35 · 67 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
54.2%
32-27 · 59 GP
Assists
38.0%
19-31 · 50 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
32.8%
Record
22-45
Average
1.3
Median
1.0
Games Played
67
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
30.9%
Record
17-38
Average
1.2
GP at Line
55
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 27.3% | — | 33 |
| Rest: 1 | 27.6% | — | 29 |
| vs FAST pace | 37.9% | — | 29 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.5%
Record
38-33
Average
8.6
Median
9.0
Games Played
71
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
62.1%
Record
18-11
Average
8.7
GP at Line
29
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
FanDuel
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 20 |
| Rest: 1 | 78.6% | — | 14 |
| vs FAST pace | 75.0% | — | 12 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 17.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.8%
Record
32-35
Average
17.6
Median
17.0
Games Played
67
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 17.5
Over Rate
52.6%
Record
10-9
Average
17.7
GP at Line
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
FanDuel
O/U 18.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 57.1% | — | 14 |
| AWAY | 41.7% | — | 12 |
| vs FAST pace | 70.0% | — | 10 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 28.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
54.2%
Record
32-27
Average
27.4
Median
28.0
Games Played
59
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 28.5
Over Rate
57.1%
Record
8-6
Average
26.0
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 70.0% | — | 10 |
| AWAY | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 44.4% | — | 9 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
38.0%
Record
19-31
Average
1.6
Median
2.0
Games Played
50
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
46.2%
Record
18-21
Average
1.5
GP at Line
39
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 56.5% | — | 23 |
| AWAY | 43.5% | — | 23 |
| vs FAST pace | 57.1% | — | 21 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.