Threes Made
43.2%
32-42 · 74 GP
NBA 2025–26
CJ McCollum
Washington Wizards
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Threes Made 43.2% (74 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Assists
48.6%
35-37 · 72 GP
Points
48.6%
35-37 · 72 GP
Rebounds
46.5%
33-38 · 71 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
50.7%
36-35 · 71 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
43.2%
Record
32-42
Average
2.5
Median
2.0
Games Played
74
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
24-32
Average
2.5
GP at Line
56
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 35.7% | — | 28 |
| vs FAST pace | 39.3% | — | 28 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 28 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.6%
Record
35-37
Average
3.8
Median
4.0
Games Played
72
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
26-26
Average
3.7
GP at Line
52
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 48.1% | — | 27 |
| vs FAST pace | 51.9% | — | 27 |
| AWAY | 51.9% | — | 27 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 17.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.6%
Record
35-37
Average
18.6
Median
18.0
Games Played
72
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 17.5
Over Rate
53.3%
Record
8-7
Average
19.6
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| HOME | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| vs FAST pace | 100.0% | — | 6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.5%
Record
33-38
Average
3.5
Median
3.0
Games Played
71
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
48.9%
Record
23-24
Average
3.6
GP at Line
47
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 53.8% | — | 26 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 26 |
| vs FAST pace | 60.0% | — | 25 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 26.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.7%
Record
36-35
Average
26.0
Median
25.0
Games Played
71
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 26.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
6-6
Average
25.2
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| HOME | 71.4% | — | 7 |
| vs MID pace | 57.1% | — | 7 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.