Points
41.0%
16-23 · 39 GP
Rebounds
39.5%
15-23 · 38 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
62.5%
10-6 · 16 GP
Assists
64.3%
9-5 · 14 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
11 GP · 36% over
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
9 GP · 44% over
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
4 GP · 25% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
16.7% |
— |
6 |
| vs FAST pace |
0.0% |
— |
5 |
| vs MID pace |
60.0% |
— |
5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
10 GP · 60% over
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
8 GP · 50% over
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
7 GP · 14% over
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
4 GP · 0% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
50.0% |
— |
8 |
| Rest: 1 |
42.9% |
— |
7 |
| MID season |
60.0% |
— |
5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
5 GP · 60% over
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
4 GP · 100% over
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
3 GP · 67% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| HOME |
80.0% |
— |
5 |
| Rest: 1 |
80.0% |
— |
5 |
| LATE season |
60.0% |
— |
5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.
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Full evidence pack