Assists
33.3%
20-40 · 60 GP
NBA 2025–26
Collin Sexton
Charlotte Hornets
Assists 33.3% Under (60 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Points
47.0%
31-35 · 66 GP
Threes Made
52.6%
30-27 · 57 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
38.1%
16-26 · 42 GP
Rebounds
48.6%
17-18 · 35 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
feature
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
20-40
Average
3.0
Median
3.0
Games Played
60
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
9-18
Average
3.0
GP at Line
27
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 35.3% | — | 17 |
| HOME | 25.0% | — | 16 |
| MID season | 26.7% | — | 15 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 11.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.0%
Record
31-35
Average
14.3
Median
14.0
Games Played
66
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 11.5
Over Rate
20.0%
Record
2-8
Average
10.0
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
FanDuel
O/U 11.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 22.2% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| AWAY | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
52.6%
Record
30-27
Average
1.6
Median
1.0
Games Played
57
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
41.9%
Record
18-25
Average
1.5
GP at Line
43
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 48.0% | — | 25 |
| vs FAST pace | 45.5% | — | 22 |
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 20 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 18.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
38.1%
Record
16-26
Average
18.4
Median
17.5
Games Played
42
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 18.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
2-3
Average
17.8
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 23.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.6%
Record
17-18
Average
2.1
Median
2.0
Games Played
35
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
43.5%
Record
10-13
Average
2.3
GP at Line
23
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 14 |
| EARLY season | 23.1% | — | 13 |
| Rest: 1 | 38.5% | — | 13 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.