Points
35.6%
16-29 · 45 GP
NBA 2025–26
Corey Kispert
Atlanta Hawks
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 35.6% (45 GP) · 3 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
44.2%
19-24 · 43 GP
Rebounds
42.9%
9-12 · 21 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
35.6%
Record
16-29
Average
8.6
Median
8.0
Games Played
45
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
23.1%
Record
3-10
Average
8.2
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 33.3% | — | 9 |
| HOME | 25.0% | — | 8 |
| Rest: 1 | 14.3% | — | 7 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.2%
Record
19-24
Average
1.3
Median
1.0
Games Played
43
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
47.1%
Record
16-18
Average
1.3
GP at Line
34
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 59.1% | — | 22 |
| vs MID pace | 26.3% | — | 19 |
| HOME | 47.4% | — | 19 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
9-12
Average
2.3
Median
2.0
Games Played
21
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
35.7%
Record
5-9
Average
2.4
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 9 |
| vs MID pace | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| HOME | 28.6% | — | 7 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.