Assists
25.0%
5-15 · 20 GP
NBA 2025–26
Craig Porter Jr.
Cleveland Cavaliers
Assists 25.0% Under (20 GP) · 4 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Points
42.3%
11-15 · 26 GP
Rebounds
54.2%
13-11 · 24 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
45.0%
9-11 · 20 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
25.0%
Record
5-15
Average
3.9
Median
3.0
Games Played
20
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
11.1%
Record
1-8
Average
2.8
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 11.1% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| vs MID pace | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
42.3%
Record
11-15
Average
5.3
Median
5.0
Games Played
26
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
30.0%
Record
3-7
Average
4.5
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 22.2% | — | 9 |
| vs MID pace | 14.3% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 16.7% | — | 6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
54.2%
Record
13-11
Average
3.5
Median
3.5
Games Played
24
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
7-7
Average
2.9
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 54.5% | — | 11 |
| Rest: 1 | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 37.5% | — | 8 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 13.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
45.0%
Record
9-11
Average
12.8
Median
12.5
Games Played
20
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 13.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
2-4
Average
15.3
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| MID season | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.