Points
35.0%
7-13 · 20 GP
NBA 2025–26
D'Angelo Russell
Dallas Mavericks
Points 35.0% Under (20 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 3 strong signals
Threes Made
26.3%
5-14 · 19 GP
Assists
31.3%
5-11 · 16 GP
Rebounds
30.8%
4-9 · 13 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
38.5%
5-8 · 13 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
35.0%
Record
7-13
Average
10.5
Median
9.0
Games Played
20
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
26.3%
Record
5-14
Average
1.4
Median
1.0
Games Played
19
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
5-10
Average
1.6
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 25.0% | — | 12 |
| HOME | 27.3% | — | 11 |
| Rest: 1 | 40.0% | — | 10 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
31.3%
Record
5-11
Average
4.6
Median
3.0
Games Played
16
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
44.4%
Record
4-5
Average
5.7
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 60.0% | — | 5 |
| vs MID pace | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
display
Over Rate
30.8%
Record
4-9
Average
2.7
Median
2.0
Games Played
13
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
4-6
Average
3.0
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 40.0% | — | 10 |
| HOME | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 42.9% | — | 7 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
38.5%
Record
5-8
Average
18.2
Median
17.0
Games Played
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.