Rebounds
45.3%
24-29 · 53 GP
NBA 2025–26
Daniel Gafford
Dallas Mavericks
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Rebounds 45.3% (53 GP) · 4 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
48.1%
25-27 · 52 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
60.0%
12-8 · 20 GP
Assists
30.0%
3-7 · 10 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.3%
Record
24-29
Average
7.3
Median
7.0
Games Played
53
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
10-10
Average
7.1
GP at Line
20
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 64.3% | — | 14 |
| AWAY | 42.9% | — | 14 |
| vs FAST pace | 41.7% | — | 12 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.1%
Record
25-27
Average
9.6
Median
8.5
Games Played
52
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
6-8
Average
8.0
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 40.0% | — | 10 |
| Rest: 1 | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| vs FAST pace | 25.0% | — | 8 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
12-8
Average
19.1
Median
18.5
Games Played
20
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
display
Over Rate
30.0%
Record
3-7
Average
1.2
Median
1.0
Games Played
10
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
25.0%
Record
2-6
Average
1.1
GP at Line
8
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 25.0% | — | 8 |
| vs FAST pace | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| AWAY | 0.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.