Pts+Reb+Ast
35.9%
23-41 · 64 GP
NBA 2025–26
Davion Mitchell
Miami Heat
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Pts+Reb+Ast 35.9% (64 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Assists
40.3%
25-37 · 62 GP
Points
51.6%
32-30 · 62 GP
Rebounds
43.1%
25-33 · 58 GP
Threes Made
49.1%
26-27 · 53 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 17.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
35.9%
Record
23-41
Average
16.3
Median
17.0
Games Played
64
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 17.5
Over Rate
38.5%
Record
5-8
Average
12.8
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 37.5% | — | 8 |
| vs FAST pace | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| MID season | 28.6% | — | 7 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.3%
Record
25-37
Average
6.3
Median
6.0
Games Played
62
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
13-13
Average
6.5
GP at Line
26
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 60.0% | — | 15 |
| vs FAST pace | 35.7% | — | 14 |
| Rest: 1 | 38.5% | — | 13 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
51.6%
Record
32-30
Average
9.0
Median
9.0
Games Played
62
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
57.9%
Record
11-8
Average
9.5
GP at Line
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 45.5% | — | 11 |
| AWAY | 70.0% | — | 10 |
| vs MID pace | 66.7% | — | 9 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
43.1%
Record
25-33
Average
2.5
Median
2.0
Games Played
58
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
44.2%
Record
23-29
Average
2.6
GP at Line
52
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 29.6% | — | 27 |
| HOME | 60.0% | — | 25 |
| vs FAST pace | 44.0% | — | 25 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
49.1%
Record
26-27
Average
1.2
Median
1.0
Games Played
53
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
47.1%
Record
16-18
Average
1.4
GP at Line
34
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 38.9% | — | 18 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 18 |
| Rest: 1 | 41.2% | — | 17 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.