Points
46.7%
35-40 · 75 GP
NBA 2025–26
De'Aaron Fox
San Antonio Spurs
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 46.7% (75 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Assists
58.1%
43-31 · 74 GP
Rebounds
41.9%
31-43 · 74 GP
Threes Made
47.3%
35-39 · 74 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
42.5%
31-42 · 73 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 17.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.7%
Record
35-40
Average
18.5
Median
18.0
Games Played
75
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 17.5
Over Rate
41.7%
Record
5-7
Average
15.8
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
FanDuel
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 16.7% | — | 6 |
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
58.1%
Record
43-31
Average
6.7
Median
7.0
Games Played
74
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
21-14
Average
6.5
GP at Line
35
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 22 |
| AWAY | 72.2% | — | 18 |
| HOME | 47.1% | — | 17 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
41.9%
Record
31-43
Average
3.5
Median
3.0
Games Played
74
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
44.1%
Record
26-33
Average
3.6
GP at Line
59
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 32 |
| HOME | 37.0% | — | 27 |
| vs FAST pace | 59.3% | — | 27 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.3%
Record
35-39
Average
1.9
Median
2.0
Games Played
74
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
48.8%
Record
20-21
Average
1.6
GP at Line
41
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 22 |
| HOME | 47.4% | — | 19 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 18 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 26.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.5%
Record
31-42
Average
28.9
Median
27.0
Games Played
73
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 26.5
Over Rate
66.7%
Record
8-4
Average
29.5
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
DraftKings
O/U 35.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 85.7% | — | 7 |
| vs FAST pace | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 50.0% | — | 6 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.