Assists
28.6%
8-20 · 28 GP
Points
44.4%
20-25 · 45 GP
Threes Made
40.9%
18-26 · 44 GP
Rebounds
47.7%
21-23 · 44 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
46.9%
15-17 · 32 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
14 GP · 21% over
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
13 GP · 39% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| vs FAST pace |
25.0% |
— |
12 |
| Rest: 1 |
18.2% |
— |
11 |
| HOME |
27.3% |
— |
11 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 13.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
6 GP · 33% over
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
6 GP · 33% over
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
5 GP · 40% over
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
4 GP · 25% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| MID season |
71.4% |
— |
7 |
| HOME |
80.0% |
— |
5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
19 GP · 21% over
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
18 GP · 61% over
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
5 GP · 60% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| MID season |
57.1% |
— |
21 |
| Rest: 1 |
50.0% |
— |
14 |
| AWAY |
69.2% |
— |
13 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
18 GP · 33% over
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
17 GP · 59% over
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
4 GP · 50% over
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
3 GP · 100% over
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
| MID season |
47.1% |
— |
17 |
| Rest: 1 |
53.3% |
— |
15 |
| vs FAST pace |
57.1% |
— |
14 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 22.5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
6 GP · 33% over
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
5 GP · 60% over
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
3 GP · 0% over
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
3 GP · 100% over
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.
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