Points
50.0%
23-23 · 46 GP
NBA 2025–26
De'Anthony Melton
Golden State Warriors
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 50.0% (46 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
41.0%
16-23 · 39 GP
Rebounds
56.4%
22-17 · 39 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
52.8%
19-17 · 36 GP
Assists
45.2%
14-17 · 31 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 15.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
23-23
Average
14.1
Median
13.0
Games Played
46
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 15.5
Over Rate
66.7%
Record
6-3
Average
16.8
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 71.4% | — | 7 |
| Rest: 1 | 80.0% | — | 5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
41.0%
Record
16-23
Average
1.5
Median
1.0
Games Played
39
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
12-16
Average
1.4
GP at Line
28
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 16 |
| HOME | 33.3% | — | 12 |
| vs FAST pace | 60.0% | — | 10 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
56.4%
Record
22-17
Average
3.6
Median
3.0
Games Played
39
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
12-12
Average
3.8
GP at Line
24
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 14 |
| Rest: 1 | 30.0% | — | 10 |
| vs FAST pace | 30.0% | — | 10 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 20.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
52.8%
Record
19-17
Average
20.2
Median
22.0
Games Played
36
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 20.5
Over Rate
44.4%
Record
4-5
Average
18.6
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 60.0% | — | 5 |
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.2%
Record
14-17
Average
2.8
Median
2.0
Games Played
31
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
52.0%
Record
13-12
Average
3.1
GP at Line
25
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 42.9% | — | 14 |
| HOME | 63.6% | — | 11 |
| vs FAST pace | 40.0% | — | 10 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.