Points
43.8%
28-36 · 64 GP
NBA 2025–26
Dean Wade
Cleveland Cavaliers
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 43.8% (64 GP) · 4 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
46.9%
30-34 · 64 GP
Threes Made
44.4%
20-25 · 45 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
36.8%
7-12 · 19 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
43.8%
Record
28-36
Average
5.9
Median
6.0
Games Played
64
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
58.1%
Record
18-13
Average
6.4
GP at Line
31
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 16 |
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 15 |
| Rest: 1 | 46.7% | — | 15 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.9%
Record
30-34
Average
4.4
Median
4.0
Games Played
64
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
53.6%
Record
15-13
Average
4.3
GP at Line
28
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 80.0% | — | 15 |
| AWAY | 23.1% | — | 13 |
| MID season | 61.5% | — | 13 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.4%
Record
20-25
Average
1.3
Median
1.0
Games Played
45
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
38.5%
Record
15-24
Average
1.3
GP at Line
39
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 40.9% | — | 22 |
| AWAY | 38.1% | — | 21 |
| vs FAST pace | 30.0% | — | 20 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
36.8%
Record
7-12
Average
12.1
Median
12.0
Games Played
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.