Points
44.4%
28-35 · 63 GP
NBA 2025–26
Dennis Schroder
Sacramento Kings
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 44.4% (63 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Assists
53.2%
33-29 · 62 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
47.1%
24-27 · 51 GP
Rebounds
42.2%
19-26 · 45 GP
Threes Made
45.5%
20-24 · 44 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 8.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.4%
Record
28-35
Average
10.7
Median
9.0
Games Played
63
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 8.5
Over Rate
30.8%
Record
4-9
Average
8.2
GP at Line
13
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| vs MID pace | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| AWAY | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.2%
Record
33-29
Average
4.8
Median
5.0
Games Played
62
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
53.8%
Record
14-12
Average
5.1
GP at Line
26
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 58.8% | — | 17 |
| Rest: 1 | 53.8% | — | 13 |
| vs MID pace | 33.3% | — | 12 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 20.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
47.1%
Record
24-27
Average
18.6
Median
16.0
Games Played
51
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 20.5
Over Rate
22.2%
Record
2-7
Average
16.7
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 14.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 25.0% | — | 8 |
| AWAY | 33.3% | — | 6 |
| vs MID pace | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.2%
Record
19-26
Average
2.8
Median
2.0
Games Played
45
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
45.7%
Record
16-19
Average
2.8
GP at Line
35
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 38.1% | — | 21 |
| Rest: 1 | 57.9% | — | 19 |
| vs MID pace | 47.4% | — | 19 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.5%
Record
20-24
Average
1.3
Median
1.0
Games Played
44
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
48.4%
Record
15-16
Average
1.6
GP at Line
31
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 47.4% | — | 19 |
| AWAY | 52.9% | — | 17 |
| EARLY season | 47.1% | — | 17 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.