Rebounds
53.9%
41-35 · 76 GP
NBA 2025–26
Derik Queen
New Orleans Pelicans
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Rebounds 53.9% (76 GP) · 4 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
50.7%
38-37 · 75 GP
Assists
42.0%
29-40 · 69 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
44.9%
31-38 · 69 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.9%
Record
41-35
Average
7.0
Median
7.0
Games Played
76
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
72.7%
Record
16-6
Average
7.6
GP at Line
22
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 71.4% | — | 14 |
| HOME | 76.9% | — | 13 |
| MID season | 88.9% | — | 9 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 13.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.7%
Record
38-37
Average
11.8
Median
11.0
Games Played
75
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 13.5
Over Rate
63.6%
Record
7-4
Average
16.2
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 55.6% | — | 9 |
| HOME | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| MID season | 83.3% | — | 6 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
42.0%
Record
29-40
Average
3.8
Median
3.0
Games Played
69
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
39.4%
Record
13-20
Average
3.9
GP at Line
33
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 31.8% | — | 22 |
| MID season | 60.0% | — | 20 |
| HOME | 41.2% | — | 17 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 24.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.9%
Record
31-38
Average
22.4
Median
22.0
Games Played
69
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 24.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
4-6
Average
25.7
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| Rest: 1 | 80.0% | — | 5 |
| vs MID pace | 20.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.