Threes Made
39.2%
31-48 · 79 GP
NBA 2025–26
Derrick White
Boston Celtics
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Threes Made 39.2% (79 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Assists
53.2%
42-37 · 79 GP
Points
41.6%
32-45 · 77 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
44.2%
34-43 · 77 GP
Rebounds
53.9%
41-35 · 76 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
39.2%
Record
31-48
Average
2.7
Median
3.0
Games Played
79
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
56.1%
Record
23-18
Average
2.9
GP at Line
41
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 57.1% | — | 21 |
| HOME | 52.4% | — | 21 |
| vs FAST pace | 70.0% | — | 20 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.2%
Record
42-37
Average
5.7
Median
5.0
Games Played
79
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
46.3%
Record
19-22
Average
5.8
GP at Line
41
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 65.2% | — | 23 |
| HOME | 31.8% | — | 22 |
| Rest: 1 | 33.3% | — | 21 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 17.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
41.6%
Record
32-45
Average
16.7
Median
16.0
Games Played
77
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 17.5
Over Rate
52.9%
Record
9-8
Average
17.1
GP at Line
17
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 45.5% | — | 11 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 10 |
| Rest: 1 | 37.5% | — | 8 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 27.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.2%
Record
34-43
Average
26.5
Median
26.0
Games Played
77
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 27.5
Over Rate
66.7%
Record
10-5
Average
27.2
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 54.5% | — | 11 |
| vs FAST pace | 77.8% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 62.5% | — | 8 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.9%
Record
41-35
Average
4.4
Median
5.0
Games Played
76
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
51.1%
Record
24-23
Average
4.3
GP at Line
47
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 65.5% | — | 29 |
| Rest: 1 | 52.0% | — | 25 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 24 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.