Points
46.1%
41-48 · 89 GP
NBA 2025–26
Desmond Bane
Orlando Magic
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 46.1% (89 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Threes Made
38.4%
33-53 · 86 GP
Rebounds
40.0%
34-51 · 85 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
48.2%
41-44 · 85 GP
Assists
50.6%
43-42 · 85 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 21.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
46.1%
Record
41-48
Average
20.2
Median
20.0
Games Played
89
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 21.5
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
8-12
Average
22.0
GP at Line
20
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
FanDuel
O/U 18.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 58.3% | — | 12 |
| MID season | 36.4% | — | 11 |
| vs FAST pace | 36.4% | — | 11 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
38.4%
Record
33-53
Average
2.0
Median
2.0
Games Played
86
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
35.6%
Record
16-29
Average
2.0
GP at Line
45
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 36.0% | — | 25 |
| HOME | 44.0% | — | 25 |
| vs FAST pace | 30.4% | — | 23 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
40.0%
Record
34-51
Average
4.0
Median
4.0
Games Played
85
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
34.0%
Record
18-35
Average
4.0
GP at Line
53
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 35.5% | — | 31 |
| Rest: 1 | 34.5% | — | 29 |
| AWAY | 22.2% | — | 27 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 27.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.2%
Record
41-44
Average
28.4
Median
29.0
Games Played
85
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 27.5
Over Rate
52.9%
Record
9-8
Average
27.2
GP at Line
17
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 31.5
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
DraftKings
O/U 30.5
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 46.2% | — | 13 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 12 |
| AWAY | 44.4% | — | 9 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.6%
Record
43-42
Average
4.2
Median
4.0
Games Played
85
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
25-25
Average
4.5
GP at Line
50
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWAY | 36.0% | — | 25 |
| HOME | 64.0% | — | 25 |
| MID season | 48.0% | — | 25 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.