Points
32.0%
8-17 · 25 GP
NBA 2025–26
Domantas Sabonis
Sacramento Kings
Points 32.0% Under (25 GP) · 5 qualified cards · 2 strong signals
Pts+Reb+Ast
32.0%
8-17 · 25 GP
Assists
38.5%
10-16 · 26 GP
Rebounds
53.8%
14-12 · 26 GP
Threes Made
27.3%
3-8 · 11 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 15.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
32.0%
Record
8-17
Average
15.1
Median
13.0
Games Played
25
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 15.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
3-3
Average
19.0
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 15.5
DraftKings
O/U 16.5
FanDuel
O/U 13.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs MID pace | 40.0% | — | 5 |
| Rest: 1 | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 32.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
32.0%
Record
8-17
Average
30.2
Median
30.0
Games Played
25
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 32.5
Over Rate
60.0%
Record
3-2
Average
36.2
GP at Line
5
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 32.5
DraftKings
O/U 34.5
DraftKings
O/U 33.5
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
38.5%
Record
10-16
Average
4.1
Median
3.0
Games Played
26
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
5-10
Average
3.8
GP at Line
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 30.0% | — | 10 |
| EARLY season | 40.0% | — | 10 |
| vs FAST pace | 37.5% | — | 8 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 12.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
53.8%
Record
14-12
Average
11.2
Median
11.5
Games Played
26
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 12.5
Over Rate
55.6%
Record
5-4
Average
12.2
GP at Line
9
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
FanDuel
O/U 8.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 6 |
| vs FAST pace | 60.0% | — | 5 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 0.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
display
Over Rate
27.3%
Record
3-8
Average
0.3
Median
0.0
Games Played
11
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 0.5
Over Rate
27.3%
Record
3-8
Average
0.3
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 33.3% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 25.0% | — | 8 |
| EARLY season | 28.6% | — | 7 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.