Points
50.0%
37-37 · 74 GP
NBA 2025–26
Donovan Mitchell
Cleveland Cavaliers
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 50.0% (74 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Assists
53.4%
39-34 · 73 GP
Threes Made
45.8%
33-39 · 72 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
52.8%
38-34 · 72 GP
Rebounds
48.6%
35-37 · 72 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 27.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
37-37
Average
27.4
Median
28.0
Games Played
74
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 27.5
Over Rate
63.2%
Record
12-7
Average
29.6
GP at Line
19
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 27.5
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
DraftKings
O/U 26.5
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 60.0% | — | 10 |
| AWAY | 66.7% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 25.0% | — | 8 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.4%
Record
39-34
Average
6.0
Median
5.0
Games Played
73
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
44.7%
Record
21-26
Average
5.7
GP at Line
47
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 40.0% | — | 25 |
| Rest: 1 | 62.5% | — | 24 |
| vs FAST pace | 36.4% | — | 22 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.8%
Record
33-39
Average
3.2
Median
3.0
Games Played
72
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
43.1%
Record
22-29
Average
3.4
GP at Line
51
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 43.8% | — | 32 |
| vs FAST pace | 46.4% | — | 28 |
| HOME | 42.3% | — | 26 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 37.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
52.8%
Record
38-34
Average
38.0
Median
38.0
Games Played
72
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 37.5
Over Rate
64.3%
Record
9-5
Average
35.9
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 37.5
DraftKings
O/U 38.5
DraftKings
O/U 36.5
DraftKings
O/U 40.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 75.0% | — | 8 |
| Rest: 1 | 42.9% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 50.0% | — | 6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
48.6%
Record
35-37
Average
4.4
Median
4.0
Games Played
72
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
49.1%
Record
26-27
Average
4.7
GP at Line
53
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 46.7% | — | 30 |
| Rest: 1 | 63.0% | — | 27 |
| MID season | 52.0% | — | 25 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.