Points
43.2%
35-46 · 81 GP
NBA 2025–26
Donte DiVincenzo
Minnesota Timberwolves
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 43.2% (81 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Assists
50.6%
41-40 · 81 GP
Threes Made
49.4%
40-41 · 81 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
41.3%
33-47 · 80 GP
Rebounds
53.8%
43-37 · 80 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 13.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
43.2%
Record
35-46
Average
12.1
Median
11.0
Games Played
81
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 13.5
Over Rate
41.7%
Record
10-14
Average
11.9
GP at Line
24
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 13.5
DraftKings
O/U 12.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 37.5% | — | 16 |
| vs FAST pace | 46.7% | — | 15 |
| MID season | 53.3% | — | 15 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.6%
Record
41-40
Average
4.0
Median
4.0
Games Played
81
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
57.8%
Record
26-19
Average
3.8
GP at Line
45
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 66.7% | — | 27 |
| HOME | 61.5% | — | 26 |
| vs MID pace | 65.0% | — | 20 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 2.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
49.4%
Record
40-41
Average
3.0
Median
3.0
Games Played
81
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 2.5
Over Rate
59.1%
Record
26-18
Average
2.7
GP at Line
44
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
FanDuel
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 70.8% | — | 24 |
| Rest: 1 | 54.2% | — | 24 |
| vs MID pace | 59.1% | — | 22 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 21.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
41.3%
Record
33-47
Average
20.3
Median
20.0
Games Played
80
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 21.5
Over Rate
57.1%
Record
8-6
Average
21.6
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| HOME | 50.0% | — | 8 |
| vs FAST pace | 71.4% | — | 7 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.8%
Record
43-37
Average
4.3
Median
4.0
Games Played
80
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
48.6%
Record
18-19
Average
4.5
GP at Line
37
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 24 |
| HOME | 43.5% | — | 23 |
| Rest: 1 | 47.4% | — | 19 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.