Points
50.0%
7-7 · 14 GP
NBA 2025–26
Dru Smith
Miami Heat
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 50.0% (14 GP) · 1 qualified card · No strong signal
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
7-7
Average
6.8
Median
6.5
Games Played
14
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
3-3
Average
7.3
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.