Points
26.7%
4-11 · 15 GP
NBA 2025–26
Dwight Powell
Dallas Mavericks
Points 26.7% Under (15 GP) · 2 qualified cards · 1 strong signal
Rebounds
43.8%
7-9 · 16 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
26.7%
Record
4-11
Average
4.3
Median
2.0
Games Played
15
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
Rebounds
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
43.8%
Record
7-9
Average
5.3
Median
5.0
Games Played
16
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.