Rebounds
50.7%
34-33 · 67 GP
NBA 2025–26
Evan Mobley
Cleveland Cavaliers
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Rebounds 50.7% (67 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
50.0%
33-33 · 66 GP
Assists
56.3%
36-28 · 64 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
53.1%
34-30 · 64 GP
Threes Made
38.6%
22-35 · 57 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 9.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.7%
Record
34-33
Average
9.1
Median
9.0
Games Played
67
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 9.5
Over Rate
53.8%
Record
14-12
Average
9.2
GP at Line
26
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
DraftKings
O/U 8.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 58.8% | — | 17 |
| Rest: 1 | 66.7% | — | 12 |
| vs FAST pace | 45.5% | — | 11 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 19.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
33-33
Average
18.5
Median
18.0
Games Played
66
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 19.5
Over Rate
33.3%
Record
7-14
Average
17.6
GP at Line
21
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 19.5
DraftKings
O/U 18.5
DraftKings
O/U 17.5
DraftKings
O/U 20.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 33.3% | — | 12 |
| vs FAST pace | 33.3% | — | 12 |
| EARLY season | 58.3% | — | 12 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
56.3%
Record
36-28
Average
3.6
Median
4.0
Games Played
64
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
70.4%
Record
19-8
Average
4.2
GP at Line
27
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 2.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
FanDuel
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 75.0% | — | 16 |
| HOME | 68.8% | — | 16 |
| EARLY season | 78.6% | — | 14 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 32.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
53.1%
Record
34-30
Average
30.8
Median
31.0
Games Played
64
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 32.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
5-5
Average
32.1
GP at Line
10
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 32.5
DraftKings
O/U 30.5
DraftKings
O/U 31.5
DraftKings
O/U 33.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| HOME | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| EARLY season | 50.0% | — | 6 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
38.6%
Record
22-35
Average
1.1
Median
1.0
Games Played
57
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
37.2%
Record
16-27
Average
1.2
GP at Line
43
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
FanDuel
O/U 1.5
FanDuel
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest: 1 | 36.0% | — | 25 |
| HOME | 36.4% | — | 22 |
| vs FAST pace | 28.6% | — | 21 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.