Assists
40.7%
11-16 · 27 GP
NBA 2025–26
Franz Wagner
Orlando Magic
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Assists 40.7% (27 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Points
40.7%
11-16 · 27 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
44.4%
12-15 · 27 GP
Rebounds
48.1%
13-14 · 27 GP
Threes Made
48.1%
13-14 · 27 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 3.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
40.7%
Record
11-16
Average
3.6
Median
3.0
Games Played
27
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 3.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
7-7
Average
3.9
GP at Line
14
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 3.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 60.0% | — | 10 |
| vs MID pace | 62.5% | — | 8 |
| AWAY | 37.5% | — | 8 |
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 22.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
40.7%
Record
11-16
Average
21.3
Median
21.0
Games Played
27
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 22.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
3-3
Average
24.3
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 22.5
DraftKings
O/U 24.5
DraftKings
O/U 21.5
DraftKings
O/U 25.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 40.0% | — | 5 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 30.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
44.4%
Record
12-15
Average
30.7
Median
31.0
Games Played
27
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 30.5
Over Rate
66.7%
Record
4-2
Average
33.2
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 30.5
DraftKings
O/U 35.5
DraftKings
O/U 31.5
DraftKings
O/U 33.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 66.7% | — | 6 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 5.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
48.1%
Record
13-14
Average
5.8
Median
6.0
Games Played
27
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 5.5
Over Rate
58.8%
Record
10-7
Average
6.2
GP at Line
17
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 64.3% | — | 14 |
| HOME | 77.8% | — | 9 |
| vs MID pace | 55.6% | — | 9 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
edge
Over Rate
48.1%
Record
13-14
Average
1.5
Median
1.0
Games Played
27
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
46.2%
Record
12-14
Average
1.5
GP at Line
26
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 52.6% | — | 19 |
| Rest: 1 | 57.1% | — | 14 |
| vs FAST pace | 42.9% | — | 14 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.