Points
27.8%
5-13 · 18 GP
NBA 2025–26
Gabe Vincent
Los Angeles Lakers
Points 27.8% Under (18 GP) · 2 qualified cards · 2 strong signals
Threes Made
25.0%
4-12 · 16 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 4.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
27.8%
Record
5-13
Average
4.2
Median
4.0
Games Played
18
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 4.5
Over Rate
42.9%
Record
3-4
Average
3.1
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 33.3% | — | 6 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 1.5
Baseline — All Games
UNDER LEAN
edge
Over Rate
25.0%
Record
4-12
Average
1.1
Median
1.0
Games Played
16
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 1.5
Over Rate
25.0%
Record
3-9
Average
1.3
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 1.5
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| MID season | 20.0% | — | 10 |
| vs FAST pace | 28.6% | — | 7 |
| AWAY | 28.6% | — | 7 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.