Points
52.8%
19-17 · 36 GP
NBA 2025–26
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Milwaukee Bucks
No strong signal — Top market by sample: Points 52.8% (36 GP) · 5 qualified cards · No strong signal
Rebounds
45.7%
16-19 · 35 GP
Assists
44.1%
15-19 · 34 GP
Pts+Reb+Ast
44.1%
15-19 · 34 GP
Threes Made
53.8%
7-6 · 13 GP
Market Detail
3-layer model: market baseline → most common historical line → supporting context splits.
Points
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 31.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
52.8%
Record
19-17
Average
27.1
Median
28.0
Games Played
36
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 31.5
Over Rate
66.7%
Record
4-2
Average
34.7
GP at Line
6
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 31.5
DraftKings
O/U 30.5
DraftKings
O/U 28.5
DraftKings
O/U 29.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 66.7% | — | 6 |
| EARLY season | 80.0% | — | 5 |
Rebounds
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 11.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
45.7%
Record
16-19
Average
9.8
Median
9.0
Games Played
35
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 11.5
Over Rate
45.5%
Record
5-6
Average
11.0
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 11.5
DraftKings
O/U 10.5
DraftKings
O/U 9.5
FanDuel
O/U 9.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 37.5% | — | 8 |
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 8 |
Assists
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 6.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.1%
Record
15-19
Average
5.6
Median
5.0
Games Played
34
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 6.5
Over Rate
45.5%
Record
5-6
Average
6.8
GP at Line
11
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 6.5
DraftKings
O/U 7.5
DraftKings
O/U 5.5
DraftKings
O/U 4.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| EARLY season | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| Rest: 1 | 57.1% | — | 7 |
| HOME | 57.1% | — | 7 |
Pts+Reb+Ast
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 45.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
feature
Over Rate
44.1%
Record
15-19
Average
42.9
Median
44.0
Games Played
34
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 45.5
Over Rate
28.6%
Record
2-5
Average
39.6
GP at Line
7
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 45.5
DraftKings
O/U 49.5
DraftKings
O/U 51.5
DraftKings
O/U 50.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOME | 16.7% | — | 6 |
Threes Made
Most Common Historical Line: O/U 0.5
Baseline — All Games
MIXED
display
Over Rate
53.8%
Record
7-6
Average
0.6
Median
1.0
Games Played
13
Most Common Historical Line
O/U 0.5
Over Rate
50.0%
Record
6-6
Average
0.5
GP at Line
12
Book Pricing History
DraftKings
O/U 0.5
Supporting Context
| Context | Over Rate | Record | GP |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FAST pace | 50.0% | — | 10 |
| Rest: 1 | 44.4% | — | 9 |
| EARLY season | 62.5% | — | 8 |
Methodology
- Baseline: all games for this player × market, across all books and lines.
- Most common historical line: highest-GP line across all sportsbooks.
- Book context: hit rate per sportsbook × line combination.
- Supporting context: venue, pace tier, rest days, season phase splits at the most common historical line.
- Over rate: overs / (overs + unders), pushes excluded.
- Display floor: 10 GP minimum. Feature tier: 30+ GP. Hero: 65%+ or 35%- over rate.